Climate Shock the Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet Review
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One such expedient is carbon pricing. In the field of climate alter mitigation activism, the policy proposal is even considered radical. Probably because information technology has a puritanic ring to information technology: "(i) dumping carbon dioxide into the athmosphere causes impairment; (ii) nobody is paying for the harm; (iii) commencement making people - all of us - pay for the damage and for sure nobody will dump carbon any more". And the well-meaning NGO policy advisors - WWF to CDP to Greenpeace - all nod resolutely. The problem is that the mechanism that should lead from carbon pricing to a alter in carbon emission patterns - in full general summarized or implied in the "for sure" passage - gets never investigated.
This book makes no exception. The authors avoid the real labour of thinking past pointing us in the direction of Arthur Pigou, who formalized the notion that taxes can be used to cistron in negative externalities and thus drive socially better decisions. Merely pigouvian taxes bring about the desired outcome only in very special settings: where the determination maker can choose between two substitutable inputs or products, and in one case incorporated the social costs of the cheaper input through the tax, the decision maker will opt for the now cheaper non-damaging input or production. But what if the decision maker has no choice? What if the decision maker has a automobile or an aircraft or a freightship that runs on fossil fuel only? It's very likely that the conclusion maker will duly pay the tax and pass the toll on to someone else (employer, rider, customer). Without substitutes, carbon behaves similar a Giffen good: when its price rises, you lot keep consuming it, reducing your consumption of something else, exactly equally in the case of the poor peasants living on rice, situation the authors look downwardly on with some commiseration if non contempt.
Tellingly, Richard Branson - possessor of Virgin airlines - is quoted hither as proverb that a global carbon tax, applied to all airlines, to all fuels, in all countries, at the same level would totally make good business concern sense. Such a revenue enhancement would in fact be automatically passed on to the passengers by all airlines, and in the absence of any substitute for air travel (the authors seem to posit that videoconferencing is not really a substitute) the taxation would not be pigouvian at all, and won't change the manner people emit carbon. And to name another example, giant oil & gas multinational ENI say in their 2016 investor relations presentations that they are perfectly comfy with $xl per tonne - the carbon toll put forrad by the authors - which won't affect their profitability.
Less frankly, if carbon pricing is to be a serious policy proposal, it is crucial that proponents research something chosen need elasticity to changes in fossil fuel prices, that is how much the demand of fossil fuel goes upwards or comes down in responses to fossil fuel toll variations. There should be years' worth of papers and books and conferences on this question only before carbon pricing can be considered a proposal to mitigate climatic change (rather than something to be used by governments to bank on carbon). The authors instead adopt not to raise the issue at all, displaying the aforementioned willful blindness they consider a prerogative of the geoengineering freaks.
To ensure the directed technical alter we need to transition to a low carbon economy (just to quote a bit of the boilerplate I'thousand exposed to on a daily basis) takes identify, we must first make fossil fuels substitutable and then if necessary we tin introduce a pigouvian tax. And what is resisted - in industry sectors reliant on fossil fuels and in politics - is the very idea that fossil fuels can exist substituted. That is the folly, non carbon pricing.
As a final caveat, fossil fuels historically and originally (almost 200 years ago) crowded out renewables even though the latter were cheaper - practise read the magnificent Fossil Majuscule: The Ascent of Steam Power and the Roots of Global Warming for the truth. So what substitutable means tin be very technical, organizational and very political earlier cost comes into play.
...moreI think that this book is a necessary read, and books like information technology likewise.
It mostly focuses on environment and economics. There was a heavy emphasis placed on that saving the environment should not prevarication on the shoulders of individuals people nor individual countries merely as a collective customs. The trouble, as the author has stated, is finding a practical and economical way to make each country reduce and perhaps
Disclaimer: This volume was given to me for free by Netgalley in exchange for a review.I think that this book is a necessary read, and books like information technology as well.
Information technology mostly focuses on environs and economics. At that place was a heavy accent placed on that saving the environment should not lie on the shoulders of individuals people nor individual countries but equally a collective community. The problem, as the author has stated, is finding a applied and economical way to brand each country reduce and peradventure eliminate pollutants. The book was a lot more than complex, but that is the main argument.
This book was a sad but illuminating read.
...moreThe matter that wasn't explained well was the idea of discount rates. A dollar today is worth more than than a dollar x or 30 years from now. Well, possibly, bold that the economic system grows forever, I suppose, and we don't go into a resource-depletion-induced economical depression. But what does this idea of discount rates actually hateful? That the economic system is always going to exist getting bigger, a highly questionable assumption? That if the environment is valuable, that we can discount the world's environmental state 10 or 30 years from now? (P. 68). I like to think of myself as a pretty smart guy, just I don't sympathize their point even from a formal betoken of view.
I could have probably re-read parts of the book, and looked up other references to "disbelieve rates," and figured it out, but it looks like this book wants to put a price on the surroundings. I don't concord with the basic concept of "getting the price right" on ecology damage, e. g. imposing a carbon taxation based on calculations of economic damage done by climate change. The authors manifestly follow William Nordhaus' views (see The Climate Casino: Risk, Uncertainty, and Economics for a Warming World) on climate, which I too disagree with and take critiqued in a Goodreads review, so this gave me another reason to drib the book. I do agree that we should have a steep carbon taxation, but this reasoning is faulty and ultimately circular.
The whole trouble with our economy is the takeover of the natural and wild parts of the planet by the human economic system. The economy is function of the larger surroundings, not vice versa, and nosotros are undermining the environs. Putting an economical price on this takeover assumes that information technology is already part of the human economy, or should be. But this co-optation of the surroundings is precisely the problem, considering it is supports and underlies the economy. Just stop taking over every last square inch of the planet already! One time you figure this out, get back to me.
We should instead just reach an independent conclusion, based on scientific and environmental considerations, of what we need to practice to preserve the environs and what kind of globe, basically, we want to live in: east. g., CO2 no higher than 350 ppm, halt soil erosion, a feasible wild population of elephants. We should then impose carbon taxes (and other ecology policies) non considering this is somehow equivalent to the economic value of the environs, but because that is a rational thing to do. The critique of the ecological economists on this point, I believe, is fatal to the book's point of view. Herman Daly discusses this issue further in an essay here.
...more thanThe ideas swirl around questions of probability and impact. There are several digressions into statistics to explore the likelihood of events and options. There is even a fantasy about James Bond.
Climate Stupor offers an economic look at climate change. Just the book actually unfolds very differently than that description suggests. Instead of being a treatise or monograph, Climate Shock is discursive, lighthearted, and speedy. It feels similar having a coffee with the authors every bit you all merchandise ideas.The ideas swirl around questions of probability and impact. There are several digressions into statistics to explore the likelihood of events and options. There is fifty-fifty a fantasy most James Bond.
So if you're new to the economic aspects of climatic change, this might be an enjoyable entrance to the topic.
...more thanNo practiced news in this little book, but a great deal of common sense and clarity. Many of us are left backside in the economical nature of climate give-and-take, holding on to the wrong idea that humans will do the right affair if someone tells u.s.a. that our grandkids are in danger. This provides a much needed antidote to that incorrect thinking, which has been proved wrong by the last 25 years of international paralysis. Climate fee and dividend are the just chance we accept left- and it is five minutes to midnight. ...more
Very attainable read, with rel
Climate Shock is a concise presentation of the economic consequences of climatic change. The authors present climate change as a risk management result, discuss the real vs. perceived take a chance of the those consequences, and how policymakers respond. Geoengineering is too discussed as an option of last resort (both financially and environmentally.) The volume concludes with a discussion of individual action vs. policy change, and how the former is futile without the latter.Very accessible read, with relatively well-known examples (such as the 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo, and more than contempo Chelyabinsklike meteor), piece of cake to understand analogies, and articulate terminology (the second affiliate serving equally a glossary -- while oddly placed, it was useful). However, as an academic text it barely scrapes the surface and I would have liked to meet more than in-depth discussion. Definitely a good starting point for college writing classes, as a starting point for further research, and would be suitable in a public library.
Thank you to NetGalley and Princeton University Press for the ARC of this championship.
...more thanFarther, the authors present why geoengineering methods might have appeal but their furnishings will non be the solution to climate disruption--information technology will only exist a ways of treating the symptoms.
I likewise apprec
I capeesh the direct, dry out, honest writing here. Wagner & Weitzman identify the fearsome foursome of anthropogenic climate disruption: it's global, it'due south long-term, it'due south irreversible, and information technology's uncertain. The last i, doubtfulness, is the worst because we however do not know how bad it volition be.Further, the authors present why geoengineering methods might take appeal but their effects volition non be the solution to climate disruption--it volition merely be a means of treating the symptoms.
I also appreciated that this was written with an economical accent. The cost-benefit analysis for dealing with the crunch gives a fresh tint of realism to the nature of the disasters looming.
Essentially, since there is not enough being done on a global calibration now, today, and since we accept already crossed over the 400 ppm threshold, brainstorm to figure out how y'all and yours can survive considering...
The rich will arrange; the poor will endure.
...moreDespite that, the book was actually a good read. It gives an overview of the problem. In that location is a lot on probability and best (350 ppm)/worst (700 ppm)/most likely case. Along with comparisons to the insurance industry. It was readable with "camels
This 241 page volume is really only 152 pages of text. At that place is *a lot* of endnotes and bibliography. The main text was a preface, seven capacity and an epilogue. And ane of those chapters (#two) was more than of a glossary - it defined terms in alphabetical order.Despite that, the book was actually a good read. It gives an overview of the problem. In that location is a lot on probability and best (350 ppm)/worst (700 ppm)/most likely case. Along with comparisons to the insurance industry. It was readable with "camels in Canada" every bit a catchy analogy. The economic forces were well described including taxes, true costs and the impact of feeling similar we did something. There was likewise a good discussion of why geoengineering (such as sulfur seeding) is inevitable from an economic point of view - whether it is a well planned consequence or by a rogue actor - and why this could be problematic.
...more-$40/ton of CO2 is the current United states of america judge. It's probably likewise low (at least by a tertiary).
-There'southward a ten% risk of ending life as we know information technology if we get to 700 ppm. It's a lognormal probability distribution
-Economical models utilise discounts rates around iv%. That is too high. 1.4% has as well been used, but I'd prefer to run across something closer to negative one%.
-Low beta: when the market is bad, the render is skilful. Climate change w A great wait at the economics of Climate Change. I enjoyed it. My four takeaways:
-$40/ton of CO2 is the electric current US estimate. Information technology's probably too depression (at least by a tertiary).
-There'south a 10% take a chance of ending life equally we know it if we get to 700 ppm. It'southward a lognormal probability distribution
-Economical models apply discounts rates around 4%. That is besides loftier. 1.4% has also been used, but I'd adopt to run into something closer to negative 1%.
-Low beta: when the market is bad, the return is proficient. Climatic change will exercise more damage to a healthy economy than to a bad economy. Therefore, a lower discount rate is better. (I'm notwithstanding a little hazy on this last point.) ...more
This is not a bad matter, non necessarily at least. Information technology doesn't bore yous, doesn't make you want to but ditch it and get live the residuum of your life, but information technology does make you lot wonder if yous would give information technology 28 bucks. It is very informative, including historical events for example every bit well as the matter information technology is actually about, and I appreciate how sincere the writing style is. Overall, I liked information technology, and I would rec
On your left, you see a series of long manufactures most climate modify disguised as a non-fiction book.This is not a bad thing, not necessarily at to the lowest degree. Information technology doesn't bore yous, doesn't brand you desire to just ditch information technology and go live the rest of your life, but it does make you wonder if y'all would give information technology 28 bucks. It is very informative, including historical events for instance every bit well as the thing it is actually well-nigh, and I capeesh how sincere the writing manner is. Overall, I liked it, and I would recommend it, but information technology'due south not a v/5.
...moreThe conclusion he reaches was obvious ten years ago - that market-based cap and trade was a system to be gamed and that we merely need to taxation carbon if nosotros are serious.
Nosotros really actually need political change on this issue. Non just hope.
They estimate a x percent chance of catastrophic global warming of 6°C (11°F) by 2100 with accompanying sea level rise from 1 to 3 feet and a possible extreme of 66 feet. Their solution, not uni
"...we hope nosotros are wrong because club volition manage to steer the climate send away from the proverbial iceberg cutting the flow of carbon into the atmosphere" (p 150). That sentence is contained in the in a higher place book published in 2015. The two economists writing Climate Shock haven't been proven wrong yet.They approximate a 10 percent chance of catastrophic global warming of 6°C (11°F) past 2100 with accompanying sea level rise from 1 to three feet and a possible extreme of 66 feet. Their solution, non unique, is to "stick it to carbon" going from a current average global carbon cost of negative $-15 per ton to $40 per ton, once again not unique to these economists.
The first three chapters were somewhat confusing to me, but that is probably due to my lack of cognition about economics. The final 4 chapters are much better in my opinion and if you get-go reading with affiliate iv with the supposition of the 10 percentage chance of catastrophic change you probably haven't missed much from capacity 1 through 3. In total this book is 152 pages not counting its extensive notes portion. Although dated, it's worth checking out.
...moreImportantly, the book has near nada to do with the championship. Information technology hardly talks at all about economic or social consequences of climatic change. Information technology gets deep into some economic models, mentions a few economic theories, and is just random. It talks a fair bit about geoengineering, just only at the level of a popular mag commodity- really surface stuff.
Don't waste your time hither! Its one of the least coherent, useful or interesting books I've picked up in a long time. At to the lowest degree it was brusque :)
...more thanDownsides to the book, it's repetitive and preachy.
...moreCertainly non an optimistic book. But it's pretty short, so if y'all're looking for a good overview on what you demand to know about climate change, this is a proficient one.
...moreI'll exist attempting Naomi Klein's book on the same subject area next.
I could only get halfway through before giving upwards on this. I'm pretty disappointed and surprised by how annoyed I was since I agree with the premise! The authors are economists, not writers, and fail to organize their thoughts into a conspicuously digestible narrative, and instead scatter paragraph length sections of unconvincing ideas or inscrutable figures and graphs (with question marks for figures!) in a random way.I'll exist attempting Naomi Klein's book on the same subject next.
...moreA bit of a mess, I am afraid. Clearly written in a blitz and would have needed more time and try.
The presentation kind of rambled in spots, and I recollect some humour was injected but I wasn't savvy enough to be sure.
...more thanNews & Interviews
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